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Written by mb21
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Sunday, 21 March 2010 20:22 |
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I'm just going to post the projections for now. I have a really big post coming up tomorrow with all the projections we've done so far, including updates to those we did before many of the projection systems were out. We've covered the regulars and that's good enough for individual posts. However, Fuld's potential came up in the previous thread so I thought I'd go ahead and post this one.
I've added another projection system. The 2010 Steamer projections for hitters was released a few days ago.
| Sam Fuld |
AB |
PA |
H |
HR |
BB |
SO |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
wOBA |
| Bill James |
115 |
129 |
30 |
1 |
14 |
11 |
0.261 |
0.346 |
0.357 |
0.317 |
| CHONE |
387 |
434 |
101 |
4 |
44 |
48 |
0.261 |
0.341 |
0.370 |
0.318 |
| Marcel |
225 |
258 |
61 |
5 |
29 |
38 |
0.271 |
0.358 |
0.409 |
0.338 |
| Fans |
271 |
307 |
76 |
3 |
36 |
36 |
0.280 |
0.367 |
0.381 |
0.337 |
| ZiPS |
442 |
490 |
122 |
4 |
45 |
53 |
0.276 |
0.346 |
0.382 |
0.327 |
| PECOTA |
358 |
403 |
95 |
5 |
42 |
49 |
0.264 |
0.346 |
0.378 |
0.328 |
| CAIRO |
419 |
468 |
110 |
4 |
48 |
51 |
0.262 |
0.343 |
0.373 |
0.323 |
| Fantistics |
175 |
206 |
51 |
2 |
30 |
17 |
0.290 |
0.393 |
0.400 |
0.357 |
| Steamer |
183 |
207 |
45 |
0 |
19 |
19 |
0.247 |
0.319 |
0.355 |
0.298 |
| Oliver |
213 |
242 |
52 |
1 |
22 |
27 |
0.248 |
0.319 |
0.336 |
0.296 |
| CBS |
206 |
234 |
58 |
0 |
25 |
30 |
0.282 |
0.359 |
0.369 |
0.343 |
| Average |
272 |
307 |
73 |
3 |
32 |
34 |
0.267 |
0.349 |
0.374 |
0.326 |
For the defensive projections, I've combined corner outfield and CF projections because Fuld is likely to play as much in a corner as he is in CF.
| Fielding |
| Oliver |
1.9 |
| CHONE |
-3.7 |
| BtB |
-1 |
| Fans |
2.2 |
| CAIRO |
0 |
| Dewan |
0 |
| Average |
0 |
Fuld's baserunning numbers only include 2 seasons with the Cubs and very small samples. I've only taken a rough average and rounded to the nearest number. The numbers are BP's EQBRR.
| Baserunning |
| 2007 |
0 |
| 2009 |
1.3 |
| projection |
1 |
A .326 wOBA, average fielding and 1 run on the bases. I'm going to wait to include to value projections until the next playing time survey. His defense in CF is about -3 and about +3 in a corner. He'd be more valuable in CF though.
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